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FX Analytics: A Survivors Guide to Online FX Trading

Trading Rules (courtesy of InvestAvenue)

1-Trade like a guerilla warrior
You must learn to adapt quickly to changes. If the winning side is changing, don't hesitate to join the new party and to commit all your forces to this side (capital ,mental,emotional)...Until the market conditions change. Don't get married to trades.

2-Be disciplined
Create a gameplan then stick to it. A trade does not simply consist of a position. It consists of a position plus reasons for having the position plus a stop loss level plus profit taking levels. In the long run your discipline will save you when markets get rough.

3-Buy high ...Sell higher / Sell Low ...Buy Lower
Do not try to bottom fish or pick tops . When you think you know the trend then follow it.

4-Think big picture but trade like a technical analyst
You must understand the fundamentals behind your investment ideas but you need to understand the Technical Analysis too. When your fundamental and technical signals point to the same direction...you have a good chance to have a winning trade.

5-Do not use excessively tight stop losses
Spend more time identifying a good entry point. Be patient. Give some freedom to the market. Place your stop losses carefully.

6-Hit your stops
The first stop is the cheapest stop on a losing position. Do not follow the temptation to "hang onto" a losing position that has gone through your stop loss level. It might work a few times but one day you will be hammered if you trade without discipline.

7-In a Bull market ...Be Long or Neutral / in a Bear market be short or Neutral
A lot of people forget this rule and trade against the trend by calling for short term changes in market conditions. This usually causes psychological imbalance and frequently leads to losses.

8-Go for the most powerful market trend
Do not focus too much on markets where the trend is not strong enough or the market is rangebound or choppy. Commit your forces to the stronger trend.

9-Accept losses they are part of the game
Prepare yourself mentally and emotionally for this eventuality.Take some time off and come back fresh if you have been hit hard. Do not fight with the trade,curse the market or make some bargain with yourself (... if the market goes to my initial level I will get out...! ).

10-Resist the urge to trade against the trend too early
The trend is usually right (fundamentally).Be patient.Wait for the trend to turn.When the fundamentals and technical are turning to the other direction,wait a bit longer then enter.

11-Never add to a losing position
This is a recipe for disaster. Just add to winning positions especially when the market is retracing.

12-Do not make a winning position lose
Use trailing stop losses.You must learn to take profits.

13-Bear markets are more violent than bull markets
You can trade bear markets with smaller positions. Expect violent retracements so get in the habit of taking profits.

14-Keep all your technical analysis simple
Use simple support and resistance,Fibonnaci retracement and reversal days ( get the book from Murphy on Technical Analysis in the Invest Avenue Booklist to get started.).
A good tip: When yesterday's daily trading range is the smallest of the previous last 11 days trading range...be ready for a big move and some volatility.

15-Be aware of market liquidity at all times
Assets do not just have prices. They have liquidity levels too , and just as prices change so too does liquidity. Illiquid assets do not trade in the same way as highly liquid assets. Only trade lower-liquidity assets if there is sufficient compensation for the lack of liquidity and you are a true expert in the asset class.

16-Be intellectually honest
When you are wrong admit it , learn from it and go on to the next trade. The market rewards intellectual arrogance with losses and pain. If you want to stick to your point of view no matter what the evidence may be to the contrary … become a politician. 17-Wall Street climbs on a wall of worry


17-Wall Street climbs on a wall of worry
Be aware that the most likely time for a bull market to end is when everyone is bullish and the bottom of a bear market occurs when everybody is bearish. When everyone is on the same bandwagon … be careful and get ready to get out.

18-Be aware of Psychological biases in the markets
Bond traders tend to make most money as economies slow and dip into recession. Stock traders tend to make most money when the economy booms. So many bond market participants are always pessimistic and many stock analysts are perpetual optimists. Try to remain objective and observe which market commentators appear objective too.

19-Be patient
The more profound your ideas the longer it will take for others to see them as well and thus the longer it will take for markets to move your way. Be patient and give yourself and your trades time.

20-The 20 Th. rule
If you have to...Break the rules. Enjoy your trading!!!

Passion. You must be passionate about what you are doing and having fun. Passion first, then performance.

Confidence. Top performance comes from having a high degree of confidence. You must have the confidence that you can take control and face adversity. You must also be confident that you will have a favorable outcome over time.

Concentration. Peak performance comes from exceptional CONCENTRATION. You must concentrate on the process, though, not the outcome. A sprinter who is in the lead is thinking about the wind on their face, how relaxed their arms are, feeling the perfect stride…they are totally in the moment. The person who does NOT have the edge is thinking, “Oh, that runner is pulling ahead of me…I don’t know if I have enough wind to catch the leader…” They are tense and tight because they are thinking about the outcome, not the process.

Resiliency. Great performances come from being able to rebound quickly and forget about mistakes.

Challenge. Great performance comes from pushing yourself and trying to overcome limitations. Staying in the safe zone becomes a monkey on your back. Challenge yourself to take that hard trade. Manage it. If it does not work out, so what…your risk was limited and you can pat yourself on the back for taking the hard trade in the first place.

See and DO ... don't think! Great performance comes from turning off the brain and becoming automatic. This is being in the Zone …in the groove. You can’t overanalyze the markets during the trading day.

Relaxation. When you are relaxed, your reflexes and timing are superior because you are loose.

Watch for another topic shortly
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